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  • Pre-Hurricane Conferece

Forecast by NOAA - What we need to know about the 2021 hurricane season



The mission, data, information products of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency of the United States were explained in this session led by Michael Brennan, Ph.D. NOAA’s Branch Chief Hurricane Specialist Unit.

The National Hurricane Center coordinates with each country, which is responsible for monitoring in their territories. This year, coordination between countries (thanks to technology) will be simultaneous, conversations and alerts will be given in real time.

Forecast is important because it allows to organize preparation activities in the communities. However, the forecast information is changeable; therefore, people must be constantly informed in order to be aware of the updated data.

After each tropical cyclone or each season, NOAA’s reports will be issued to inform about the intensity, meteorological data, number of damages and deaths in order to evaluate the forecast. Regarding deaths, the causes are differentiated, for example, water, wind force or indirect fatalities. In addition, conferences and training sessions are held for television hosts and people interested in the subject. No face-to-face talks have been held due to the pandemic in the last two years, but it is expected to do so again in 2022. NOAA encourage journalists, media, specialized organizations to use this information to get prepared and transform it into messages that explain better not just the meteorological event itself but the hazards and threats that most vulnerable communities face. Some of the NOAA contents available this season include:

  1. Hurricane Watch: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

  2. Hurricane warning: Warnings issued 36 hours prior to the arrival of tropical-storm-force winds.

  3. The summary report of tropical cyclone reports provides a complete summary report for every Atlantic and East Pacific Storm and this information are available: https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/ (NHC web site). With the information of final track, intensity and size info, damage and casualty figures and forecast critique.

  4. RSS feeds from NHC, available here: www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutrss.shtml

  5. The material is available in English, but some of the content is available in Spanish. Information can be found at the following link: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutrss.shtml


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